Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.294988 1.556934 1.877780 2.306382 2.874426 3.617112e+00 4.688956e+00
2025-01-05 0.931909 1.234561 1.659262 2.324542 3.393255 5.150977e+00 8.537443e+00
2025-01-12 0.719577 1.013972 1.465664 2.256616 3.725625 6.647852e+00 1.404021e+01
2025-01-19 0.592564 0.873621 1.334680 2.215777 4.062203 8.421918e+00 2.298321e+01
2025-01-26 0.534736 0.823417 1.329106 2.385765 4.908383 1.218890e+01 4.762296e+01
2025-02-02 0.483700 0.771356 1.303080 2.501828 5.719037 1.702161e+01 1.025985e+02
2025-02-09 0.431249 0.705634 1.233584 2.495424 6.216769 2.173788e+01 2.099400e+02
2025-02-16 0.383318 0.639582 1.148084 2.420566 6.473458 2.611745e+01 4.222690e+02
2025-02-23 0.353860 0.603530 1.116570 2.470709 7.202500 3.507516e+01 1.387811e+03
2025-03-02 0.332746 0.580216 1.107181 2.577755 8.262619 5.054341e+01 1.163777e+04
2025-03-09 0.308933 0.547840 1.070708 2.595190 8.996458 6.773330e+01 1.093688e+06
2025-03-16 0.282015 0.505539 1.003483 2.497691 9.133183 8.014339e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 0.268071 0.489391 0.997505 2.600145 10.468035 1.245322e+02 NaN
2025-03-30 0.251721 0.466072 0.969901 2.623364 11.444403 1.814790e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.232919 0.435197 0.917955 2.544170 11.722935 2.309649e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.217527 0.410295 0.877740 2.496442 12.208751 3.119226e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.212717 0.408752 0.899384 2.695878 14.956324 7.366344e+02 NaN
2025-04-27 0.205808 0.401487 0.904076 2.832473 17.578833 1.853875e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 0.195120 0.384119 0.877257 2.824929 18.850831 3.754329e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 0.183184 0.362644 0.835458 2.736806 19.131506 6.274479e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 0.176208 0.352540 0.825760 2.795819 21.434288 2.730452e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 0.171333 0.347087 0.829197 2.922016 25.183853 1.647522e+06 NaN
2025-06-01 0.164357 0.335716 0.812675 2.942597 27.554559 NaN NaN